About the Beacon Retirement Calculator

Detailed Calculation Logic & Methodology

Overview

The Beacon Retirement Calculator is a sophisticated financial planning tool that projects your retirement accounts and income streams over decades. It simulates year-by-year account growth, tax-aware withdrawals, income sources (salary, Social Security, pensions, other income), and required minimum distributions (RMDs).

The calculator employs several advanced techniques to ensure realistic projections:

Monte Carlo Simulation

The Monte Carlo feature runs thousands of simulations with randomized market returns to provide a probabilistic view of retirement outcomes. This helps you understand not just the "expected" outcome, but the full range of possibilities.

Key Features

Statistical Outputs

The simulation provides comprehensive statistics to assess plan viability:

Usage Recommendations

πŸ’‘ Best Practice: A retirement plan with a 90%+ success rate provides a good balance between confidence and avoiding over-saving. Plans below 75% may require adjustments (work longer, save more, spend less). Use autocorrelation of 0.2-0.3 for realistic market modeling, or 0.0 for conservative independent returns.

Main Calculation Flow

For each year from your current age through your plan horizon, the calculator performs these steps:

  1. Account Growth & Contributions: Apply investment returns to all accounts and add annual contributions (if still working)
  2. Career Transition: At retirement age, roll over 401(k) balances to IRAs
  3. Income Stream Calculation: Determine Social Security and pension income based on age and configuration
  4. Required Minimum Distributions (RMD): Calculate and apply RMDs for tax-deferred accounts; net amount deposited to cash
  5. Tax-Aware Withdrawals: Draw from accounts in optimal tax order (cash first, then brokerage/IRA/Roth) to cover expenses not met by fixed income
  6. Surplus Transfer to Brokerage: In retirement, if total income exceeds expenses, transfer the annual surplus from cash to brokerage for growth

Step 1: Account Growth & Contributions

Growth Rate Determination

The calculator applies different rates of return based on your life stage and glide path settings:

Glide Path Strategy

The glide path feature automatically reduces investment risk as you approach and progress through retirement. You can configure when the glide path begins (default: retirement age), how long it lasts, what rate of return it reaches at the end (floor rate), and the shape of the transition curve.

Glide Path Configuration

Linear Glide Path

The linear glide path provides a steady, predictable reduction in returns:

Annual Rate = Base Rate - (Years Into Glide Path Γ— Annual Reduction) Annual Reduction = (Base Rate - Floor Rate) / Glide Path Years

Example: Starting at age 50 with 7% base rate, 4% floor rate, and 20-year duration:

Sigmoid Glide Path

The sigmoid curve provides a more natural transition that mirrors how many investors actually de-risk: slower changes initially and at the end, with faster adjustment in the middle years. This S-shaped curve is mathematically defined as:

Rate = Floor + (Start - Floor) / (1 + e^(k Γ— (t - 0.5))) where: t = Progress through glide path (0 to 1) k = Steepness parameter (default 10) e = Euler's number (2.71828...)

Sigmoid Example: Same parameters as above but with sigmoid curve (steepness=10):

Steepness Parameter

The steepness parameter (valid range: 2-50) controls how quickly the sigmoid transition occurs:

Monte Carlo Integration

When running Monte Carlo simulations, the glide path can be optionally applied to both returns and volatility. If enabled in Monte Carlo settings:

πŸ’‘ Why Use Glide Path: The glide path gradually reduces stock exposure as you age, shifting toward bonds and fixed income to protect accumulated wealth. The sigmoid curve is recommended because it mimics real-world de-risking behavior: cautious early on, more decisive as retirement approaches, then stabilizing into a conservative allocation. This reduces sequence-of-returns risk while maintaining growth potential during accumulation years.

Sequence of Returns Risk Stress Test

If enabled, simulates a 15% market crash in the first year of retirement (age = RetirementAge + 1). This tests the robustness of your plan against the #1 reason retirement plans fail: poor returns early in retirement when you begin withdrawals.

401(k) Contribution Maximization

The calculator offers a "Maximize 401(k) Contributions" toggle that automatically sets your employee contributions to the IRS annual limits. For 2026, the employee contribution limit is $24,500, with an additional $7,500 catch-up contribution available for those age 50 or older, bringing the total employee limit to $32,000. The overall 401(k) contribution limit (including employer match) is $72,000 for 2026. Note that these IRS limits may change in future years.

When the maximize toggle is enabled, the calculator automatically allocates 100% of your employee contributions to the Roth 401(k) option for maximum tax-free growth potential. The contribution amount adjusts annually based on the inflation rate to account for IRS limit increases. Employer match contributions are calculated separately and are not affected by the maximize toggle.

For users who want detailed analysis of their contribution strategy, the calculator includes a separate 401(k) Contribution Optimizer tool (accessible from the main menu). This optional planning tool provides per-paycheck breakdowns showing exactly when you'll reach IRS limits during the year, helps you determine optimal contribution percentages to maximize company match, and supports various pay frequencies (weekly, bi-weekly, semi-monthly, monthly). The Optimizer is particularly useful for planning mega backdoor Roth strategies and understanding how after-tax contributions fit within the total contribution limits.

401(k) Contribution Calculation & Net Pay Flow

When not using the maximize toggle, your 401(k) contributions are calculated as a percentage of your gross annual salary. Both Pre-Tax and Roth contribution percentages apply to your full gross pay, not to amounts after other deductions. This means a 10% Pre-Tax contribution on a $100,000 salary results in $10,000 contributed to your Pre-Tax 401(k), regardless of taxes or other deductions.

The calculator follows the standard payroll flow to determine how much cash you have available for expenses and additional savings:

Gross Annual Salary - Pre-Tax 401(k) Contributions (% of Gross) - Other Pre-Tax Deductions (health insurance, FSA, etc.) = Taxable Income Taxable Income Γ— Tax Rate = Income Tax Withheld Taxable Income - Income Tax Withheld - Roth 401(k) Contributions (% of Gross, but paid after-tax) = Net Pay (deposited to Cash Management)

Important: Both Pre-Tax and Roth 401(k) contribution percentages are applied to your gross salary. Pre-Tax contributions reduce your taxable income before taxes are calculated, while Roth contributions are taken from after-tax dollars (reducing your net pay but not your taxable income for the current year).

The resulting Net Pay is deposited into your Cash Management account each year, where it's available to cover your annual expenses. Any surplus cash (Net Pay minus Annual Expenses) accumulates in the Cash account during working years and becomes available for retirement spending or transfer to brokerage.

πŸ’‘ Example: With $100,000 gross salary, 8% Pre-Tax, 4% Roth, $5,000 other deductions, and 22% tax rate:
β€’ Pre-Tax 401(k): $8,000 (reduces taxable income)
β€’ Other Deductions: $5,000
β€’ Taxable Income: $87,000
β€’ Income Tax: $19,140 (22% of $87,000)
β€’ Roth 401(k): $4,000 (from after-tax dollars)
β€’ Net Pay to Cash: $63,860

Inflation-Adjusted Contributions

To help your retirement savings keep pace with rising costs, the calculator can automatically increase your annual contributions to Traditional IRA, Roth IRA, and Brokerage accounts based on the inflation rate. Each account type has an "Increase by Inflation Rate" toggle that, when enabled, compounds your contribution amount year over year.

When inflation adjustment is enabled, each year's contribution equals the previous year's contribution multiplied by (1 + inflation rate). For example, if you're contributing $7,500 annually to a Roth IRA with a 2.5% inflation rate, your contributions would grow to $7,688 in year 2, $7,880 in year 3, and $8,290 by year 5. This helps maintain the purchasing power of your savings over decades of accumulation.

The inflation adjustment applies to IRA, Roth IRA, and Brokerage contributions. 401(k) contributions (when using the maximize toggle) are already adjusted for inflation as the IRS limits typically increase each year. When not maximizing, 401(k) contributions are based on a percentage of your salary, which already grows with your annual raise percentage.

πŸ’‘ Planning Tip: Enabling inflation-adjusted contributions is particularly valuable for long time horizons (20+ years to retirement). A fixed $7,500 annual contribution will buy significantly less in year 20 than in year 1. By inflating contributions, you maintain consistent retirement saving power while building progressively larger balances as your career advances.

IRA, Roth IRA & Brokerage Contribution Logic

Unlike 401(k) contributions which are deducted directly from your paycheck, contributions to Traditional IRA, Roth IRA, and Brokerage accounts are made from your available cash after all other obligations are met. The calculator automatically ensures you never contribute more than you can afford based on your actual cash flow.

Each year during your working years, the calculator follows this sequence:

1. Net Pay is deposited to Cash Management (after 401(k), taxes, etc.) 2. Annual Expenses are paid from Cash 3. Funds Available for Additional Contributions = Cash Balance - Annual Expenses 4. Apply contributions in order (each capped by remaining available funds): a. Traditional IRA Contribution (up to configured amount or available funds) b. Roth IRA Contribution (up to configured amount or available funds) c. Brokerage Contribution (up to configured amount or available funds) 5. Any remaining cash stays in Cash Management account

Automatic Contribution Capping: If you configure total contributions (IRA + Roth IRA + Brokerage) that exceed your available funds after expenses, the calculator automatically caps each contribution to prevent overspending. Contributions are applied in the order listed above, so if you have $30,000 available and configure $15,000 IRA + $10,000 Roth IRA + $10,000 Brokerage, you'll get the full $15,000 to IRA, full $10,000 to Roth IRA, and only $5,000 to Brokerage (the remainder of what's available).

πŸ’‘ Example: You have $80,000 net pay deposited to cash, with $50,000 annual expenses:
β€’ Available for Contributions: $80,000 - $50,000 = $30,000
β€’ Configured IRA: $7,000 β†’ Applied: $7,000 (remaining: $23,000)
β€’ Configured Roth IRA: $7,000 β†’ Applied: $7,000 (remaining: $16,000)
β€’ Configured Brokerage: $20,000 β†’ Applied: $16,000 (capped by available funds)
β€’ Final Cash Balance: $0

If you had configured only $10,000 Brokerage instead, you'd have $6,000 remaining in cash for emergencies or future use.

Account Growth Formulas

Account Type Growth Formula Contribution Conditions
401(k) Pre-Tax Balance Γ— (1 + Rate) + Annual Contribution While working: Employee Pre-Tax % + Employer Match. If "Maximize" enabled, employee contribution goes to Roth instead.
401(k) Roth Balance Γ— (1 + Rate) + Annual Contribution While working: Employee Roth %. When "Maximize 401(k)" is enabled, receives full IRS limit ($24,500 + $7,500 catch-up if age 50+), adjusted annually for inflation.
401(k) After-Tax Balance Γ— (1 + Rate) While working: No direct contributions (mega backdoor Roth)
Traditional IRA Balance Γ— (1 + Rate) + Annual Contribution While working: Configured annual amount. Optional: increase annually by inflation rate to maintain purchasing power.
Roth IRA Balance Γ— (1 + Rate) + Annual Contribution While working: Configured annual amount. Optional: increase annually by inflation rate to maintain purchasing power.
Brokerage Balance Γ— (1 + Rate) + Surplus Cash While working: Configured annual amount + reinvested surplus. Optional: increase contribution annually by inflation rate.
Cash Management Balance Γ— (1 + Savings Rate) + (Net Salary - Expenses) Net salary contributions minus expenses (if working)

Step 2: Career Transition

When you reach your Retirement Age, the calculator performs a "rollover" of your 401(k) accounts:

Traditional IRA ← Traditional IRA + 401(k) Pre-Tax Balance Roth IRA ← Roth IRA + 401(k) Roth Balance + 401(k) After-Tax Balance 401(k) Pre-Tax, Roth, and After-Tax balances are zeroed out Salary and Net Salary are set to $0

This transition assumes you're leaving your employer and consolidating retirement savings into IRAs (a common practice for better control and lower fees).

πŸ’‘ After-Tax 401(k) Strategy: After-tax 401(k) contributions enable the "mega backdoor Roth" strategy. At retirement, the after-tax balance rolls into a Roth IRA, allowing high earners to exceed normal Roth contribution limits. This balance grows tax-free and qualifies for tax-free withdrawals in retirement.

Step 3: Income Stream Calculation

Social Security Income

Year of Claiming = Social Security Benefit (as configured) Subsequent Years = Current Benefit Γ— (1 + SS COLA)

Other Income

Track additional income sources such as rental properties, royalties, dividends, or side businesses that continue both before and after retirement:

Net Other Income = Other Income Γ— (1 - 0.22) Other Income (Next Year) = Current Other Income Γ— (1 + Inflation Rate)
πŸ’‘ Use Case: Ideal for modeling passive income streams like rental property net income, consulting retainers, annuities, or investment dividends that aren't captured in account growth.

Pension Income

πŸ’‘ Note: This calculator assumes a fixed pension payment. Real pensions may have COLA adjustmentsβ€”you can adjust the pension values manually if needed. The calculator converts your monthly pension payment to an annual amount automatically.

Step 4: Required Minimum Distributions (RMD)

SECURE 2.0 Rule

RMDs begin at age 73 for those born 1951–1959, or age 75 for those born 1960 and later.

RMD Start Age = Birth Year β‰₯ 1960 ? 75 : 73

RMD Calculation

RMD = IRA Balance Γ· IRS Life Expectancy Factor (for your age)

The calculator uses the IRS Uniform Lifetime Table to determine the divisor:

Tax Treatment & Cash Deposit

RMD distributions are subject to income tax. The calculator applies an estimated 22% effective tax rate:

Net RMD (to Cash) = RMD Γ— (1 - 0.22) Tax Withheld = RMD Γ— 0.22

The net RMD amount is deposited directly into your Cash Management account, where it becomes available for immediate spending. The IRA balance is reduced by the full RMD amount. This cash deposit is then used in the withdrawal logic (Step 5) before tapping other accounts.

Tax-Adjusted Social Security

After calculating RMD, the calculator estimates your taxable income to determine if your Social Security benefits are taxable:

Combined Income = Pension Income + (RMD or 4% rule estimate) + (0.5 Γ— Social Security) If Combined Income > $44,000 (MFJ): Taxable SS = 85% of benefits Else if Combined Income > $32,000: Taxable SS = 50% of benefits Else: Taxable SS = $0

The taxable portion is multiplied by the 22% tax rate to reduce your net Social Security income.

Step 5: Tax-Aware Withdrawals

In retirement, the calculator determines if additional withdrawals are needed beyond fixed income (Social Security and pension). Critically, RMD income is NOT included in the withdrawal need calculationβ€”it's already been deposited to cash in Step 4 and is available for spending.

Withdrawal Need Calculation

Fixed Income = Net Social Security + Net Pension + Net Other Income Withdrawal Need = Annual Expenses - Fixed Income

Note: RMD is excluded from this calculation because it has already been deposited to cash and is available to cover expenses through cash withdrawals.

Withdrawal Hierarchy (If Withdrawal Need > 0)

When fixed income doesn't cover expenses, the calculator draws from accounts in this tax-efficient order:

  1. Cash Management: Tax-free withdrawals (includes net RMD deposited in Step 4)
  2. Brokerage: Long-term capital gains taxed at 15%; estimated as 15% Γ— 50% of withdrawal = 7.5% effective tax
  3. Traditional IRA: Taxed at full income tax rate (22%); grossed-up withdrawal to account for taxes
  4. Roth IRA: Tax-free withdrawals (after 5-year rule is satisfied)

Withdrawal Calculation Example

Suppose you have $100,000 in expenses, $50,000 in fixed income (net SS + pension), and a $25,000 net RMD deposited to cash:

Step Action
1. Calculate Need Withdrawal Need = $100,000 expenses - $50,000 fixed income = $50,000
2. Cash ($25,000 from RMD + $10,000 prior) Withdraw $35,000 (no tax). Remaining need: $15,000. Cash balance: $0
3. Brokerage ($60,000) Need gross of $15,000 Γ· 0.925 = $16,216. Withdraw $16,216. Net after 7.5% tax: $15,000. Remaining need: $0

This order minimizes lifetime taxes by using cash (which holds the net RMD) first, followed by low-tax brokerage, then deferring high-tax IRA withdrawals as long as possible.

Step 6: Surplus Transfer to Brokerage

Working Years

During your working years, cash accumulates from salary after expenses. The calculator does NOT automatically transfer surplus to brokerage during working yearsβ€”cash builds up for retirement liquidity.

Retirement Years: Surplus Logic

In retirement, if your total income (fixed income plus net RMD) exceeds annual expenses, the surplus remains in cash. To prevent "cash drag" (excessive low-yield cash reducing returns), the calculator automatically transfers surplus to brokerage for growth:

Total Retirement Income = Net Social Security + Net Pension + Net RMD Annual Surplus = Total Retirement Income - Annual Expenses If Annual Surplus > 0: Transfer Amount = Min(Annual Surplus, Available Cash) Cash Balance -= Transfer Amount Brokerage Balance += Transfer Amount SurplusToBrokerage = Transfer Amount (recorded in output)

Example: Surplus Transfer at Age 75

Suppose at age 75:

Total Income = $40,000 + $35,000 + $30,000 = $105,000 Annual Surplus = $105,000 - $95,000 = $10,000 Transfer = Min($10,000, $10,000 cash) = $10,000 Cash β†’ $0, Brokerage increases by $10,000 SurplusToBrokerage = $10,000 (shown in output)
πŸ’‘ Business Logic: This approach prevents excessive cash accumulation from RMDs and surplus income. By transferring only the true annual surplus (income minus expenses) and capping it by available cash, the calculator balances liquidity needs with growth potential. The new SurplusToBrokerage output column makes these transfers explicit and visible in your year-by-year results.

Key Input Parameters

Personal Information

Income & Contributions

Investment Accounts

Investment Returns & Risk

Income Sources

Mortgage & Other

Output Metrics (Per Year)

For each year, the calculator records:

Metric Description
Age Your age in that year
Year Calendar year (Birth Year + Age - Current Age)
Account Balances IRA, Roth IRA, 401(k) Pre-Tax/Roth, Brokerage, Cash Management, and Total
Salary Gross annual salary (pre-retirement only)
Income Sources Social Security, Pension, Total (after taxes)
Expenses Annual living expenses (after mortgage payoff, if applicable)
RMD Required Minimum Distribution (if applicable)
SurplusToBrokerage Amount transferred from cash to brokerage due to income exceeding expenses (retirement years only)
Contributions 401(k) pre-tax and Roth contributions (while working)
Investment Gains Dollar gains on 401(k) accounts from investment returns
Is Retirement Year Flag indicating your first year of retirement

Assumptions & Limitations

Key Assumptions

Limitations

⚠️ Disclaimer: This calculator is a planning tool, not financial advice. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making retirement decisions. Market conditions, tax law changes, and personal circumstances can significantly affect outcomes.

User Interface Features

Flexible Input Panel Modes

The calculator offers three input panel modes to optimize screen space:

Panel mode preference is automatically saved to browser local storage.

Customizable Card Layout

Results cards (Total Assets Chart, Detailed Results, Monte Carlo Analysis) can be reordered via drag-and-drop. Your preferred order is saved automatically and restored on each visit.

Dark Mode

Toggle between light and dark themes using the menu. Your preference is saved across all pages and sessions.

Configuration Management

Additional Tools

Getting Started

  1. Fill in your personal information: Birth year, current age, retirement age, plan horizon
  2. Enter your income & expenses: Salary, monthly expenses, inflation rates
  3. Configure your accounts: Current balances and annual contribution amounts
  4. Set investment assumptions: Expected returns, glide path settings, stress test option
  5. Define income sources: Social Security and pension tables, claiming ages
  6. Click "Calculate" to generate your projection and view results
  7. Run Monte Carlo: Open the simulation modal from the menu to perform probabilistic analysis
  8. Customize your view: Drag and drop cards, toggle dark mode, adjust panel layout
  9. Save your work: Enable auto-save or download your configuration for later use
  10. Explore scenarios: Adjust parameters (delay SS, change spending, modify returns) to stress-test your plan

Tips for Effective Planning